Tuesday, January 14, 2014

The Federal Law Clerk Hiring Plan is officially over

Here is the official announcement, dated January 13, 2014:

To: All United States Judges
From: Judge John D. Bates
RE: LAW CLERK HIRING (INFORMATION)

In accordance with recommendations made by the Online System for Clerkship
Application and Review (OSCAR) Working Group (Working Group), I am writing to inform
you that the Federal Law Clerk Hiring Plan has effectively been discontinued and no further
dates are being set in connection with that plan.
I also have adopted the Working Group’s recommendation that there be a phased
approach for opening OSCAR to law school students in 2014. The Administrative Office
will open OSCAR to rising second-year law school students in a read-only capacity effective
June 1, 2014, and permit them to build and finalize clerkship applications effective August 1,
2014. Third-year law school students and alumni will continue to have full access to OSCAR
year-round.
The Working Group judges have developed a list of Federal Law Clerk Hiring Best
Practices to support transparency in the hiring process. In addition, the Working Group is
asking the National Association for Law Placement to create a list for judges of
recommendations regarding clerkship recruiting best practices from the law school
perspective. The Administrative Office will post the list in OSCAR. I hope you will find
both lists helpful in determining your clerkship recruitment and hiring practices.
The Judiciary supports a transparent clerkship recruitment and hiring process, and
OSCAR plays a valuable role in ensuring transparency. OSCAR’s online application process
eliminates paper and saves court staff time. Using OSCAR adds diversity to judges’
applicant pools and enables judges to electronically manage a large volume of applications
through search and sort features. I encourage you to use OSCAR to post your hiring
practices. To register for an OSCAR account, please visit the OSCAR registration page.


HT: Catherine Rampell

Monday, January 13, 2014

An economist's advice on online dating by Stanford's Paul Oyer

In a WSJ column and in a new book, Paul Oyer offers his perspective on economics and online dating, based on his personal experience. In the column he gives an economist's advice on dating, and in the book he illustrates principles of economics using online dating as his main example.

Here's the column: How Nobel-Winning Economic Theories Can Help Your Online Dating

And here's the book: Everything I Ever Needed to Know about Economics I Learned from Online Dating 
by Paul Oyer

Sunday, January 12, 2014

Women protest Saudi driving ban, in small numbers

The WSJ has the story: Women Accelerate Challenge to Saudi Driving Ban

"Three Saudi women drove cars on Saturday in an ongoing challenge of the world's last official ban on women driving, activists and female drivers in the kingdom said.
Security forces in the Red Sea port city of Jeddah pulled over one female driver there within minutes of her taking the wheel, a passenger in the woman's car said. In the eastern city of Khobar, another woman drove at length Saturday without being stopped. A third drove Saturday evening in the capital, Riyadh, and also wasn't detained, activists said.
Saudi Arabia is the only country in the world where women are officially forbidden from driving."
**************
It must be difficult to get a lot of Saudi women drivers to protest the driving ban, since there can't be a lot of Saudi women drivers. Most if not all of the women protesters at this and similar demonstrations must have learned to drive outside of Saudi Arabia, i.e. in places where it is legal for them to drive.  Perhaps women who want to protest the driving ban should find another way...e.g. many more women would be able to participate in a protest that involved blocking traffic by lying down in the road, which would resemble protests that have attracted attention to causes in other countries.

Friday, January 10, 2014

Dale Mortensen, 1939-2014

Dale Mortensen, Nobelist for Labor Market Work, Dies at 74

Here's the short bio from his website:

Dale T. Mortensen 
is the Board of Trustees Professor of Economics at Northwestern University, a visiting Professor of Economics at Aarhus University, a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), and a research fellow of the Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). Professor Mortensen received his B.A. in Economics from Willamette University in 1961 and his Ph.D. in Economics from Carnegie-Mellon University in 1967. Mortensen is a fellow of Econometrica Society, the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, the Society of Labor Economics, and the European Economic Association.  He was awarded the IZA Labor Economics Prize in 2005 and the Society of Labor Economics Mincer Prize in 2007. In 2008 he was elected an American Economic Association Distinguished Fellow. Together with Peter Diamond and Christopher Pissarides he was awarded the 2010Sveriges Riksbank (Nobel) Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel, 2010 for their contributions to the analysis of “markets with search friction.” In 2013 he was elected as a member of the National Academy of Science and the Royal Danish Academy of Sciences and Letters.
 

Mortensen pioneered the theory of search and search unemployment and extended it to study labor turnover, personal relationships, and labor reallocation. His insight, that friction is equivalent to the random arrival of trading partners, has become the leading technique for analysis of labor markets and the effects of labor market policy. The development of equilibrium dynamic models designed to account for wage dispersion, the time series behaviour of job and worker flows, and the role of reallocation in the determination of aggregate growth and productivity are the principal topics of his current research. His publications include over fifty scientific articles. His books include Wage Dispersion: Why Are Similar Workers Paid Differently?, published by MIT Press in 2003, and Job Matching, Wage Dispersionand Unemployment (jointly authored with Christopher A. Pissarides),published by Oxford University Press in 2011.

Learning and adaptation in the social sciences: NAS Sackler conference, January 10-11

Ido Erev and I will be presenting a paper  on learning and choice behavior at one of the Sackler Colloquia run by the National Academy of Sciences:

In the Light of Evolution VIII: Darwinian Thinking in the Social Sciences

Organized by Brian Skyrms, John C. Avise and Francisco J. Ayala

January 10-11, 2014 at the Arnold and Mabel Beckman Center in Irvine, CA.


 Overview
Darwinian thinking is now having a major impact in social science, both in the consideration of the consequences of biological and cultural evolution on traditional questions, and in the use of quasi-Darwinian adaptive dynamics in evolutionary game theory. This Darwinian point of view is having a major impact on economics, political science, sociology, anthropology, and demography.

Agenda

I.  Evolution of Social Norms
Bargaining and FairnessKenneth Binmore, University College London
Cooperation, Natalia Komarova, University of California, Irvine
Friendship and Natural Selection, James H. Fowler, University of California, San Diego
Reputation and Punishment, Michihiro Kandori, University of Tokyo

II. Social Dynamics
The Replicator Equation and Other Game Dynamics, Ross Cressman, Wilfrid Laurier University
Payoff-Based Learning Dynamics, Alvin Roth, Harvard University
Strategic Learning Dynamics, David K. Levine, Washington University
Cultural Evolution, Marcus W. Feldman, Stanford University
Keynote Address:  Public Goods: Competition, Cooperation, and SpiteSimon A. Levin, Princeton University

III. Special Sciences
Evolutionary Demography, Kenneth W. Wachter, University of California, Berkeley
Folklore of the Elite and Biological Evolution, Barry O’Neill, University of California, Los Angeles
Economics, Ted Bergstrom, University of California, Santa Barbara
Psychology, Dale Purves, Duke-National University of Singapore Graduate Medical School

IV. Applications

Evolutionary Implementation in Mechanism Design, Éva Tardos, Cornell University
Some Dynamics of Signaling, Brian Skyrms, University of California, Irvine
The Rate of Innovation Diffusion in Social Networks, H. Peyton Young, Oxford University
Homophily, Culture, and Coordinating Behaviors, Matthew O. Jackson, Stanford University

Thursday, January 9, 2014

Black markets and black market prices

A website call Havocscope (subtitle: Global Black Market Information) compiles information from news stories and other public sources about black markets and reported transaction prices around the world, from counterfeit goods of various sorts (from pharma to tech to food), to repugnant markets from narcotics to contract killing.

Here's their take on prices in the black markets for kidneys for transplantation.

When you click on the prices they indicate, you find their source, often a newspaper story that may only contain an anecdotal report of a transaction, so I don't think they make strong claims for the accuracy of their data, but it makes for interesting reading.

Wednesday, January 8, 2014

Video of market design talk at USF

Not long ago I gave a talk at the University of San Francisco. My host was Professor Ludwig Chincarini, and he has posted this video of my lecture:

Tuesday, January 7, 2014

Celebrating experimental economics (and being celebrated for it) at the University of Amsterdam, January 8

The University of Amsterdam (UvA) is the home of one of Europe's important centers of experimental economics at Creed:


On January 8 I'll be helping celebrate CREED when I receive an honorary doctorate at UvA, along with the legal scholar James Crawford. The announcement says this about me, and my professional connection to the focus of CREED's work:
"He is also one of the pioneers of experimental economics, regarded as one of the Big Four (along with Charles Plott, Reinhard Selten and Vernon Smith) responsible for putting this field on the map in the latter half of the 20th century.
Prof. Arthur Schram, professor of Experimental Economics, has been designated honorary supervisor."

I'll also get a chance to talk to students: Room for Discussion ontvangt Nobelprijswinnaar Alvin Roth, or maybe with more English here
*************
update: here's the video, see at 1:11:41)


Monday, January 6, 2014

D47. Market Design is now officially a field of study

I returned last night from Philadelphia where the American Economic Association’s annual meeting was held. While I was there, my Pittsburgh colleague Asatoshi Maeshiro informed me that Market Design has arrived. In particular, the AEA publishes the Journal of Economic Literature, which classifies articles according to what field they are in. And the newest JEL Classification Codes include market design, under the overall heading of Market Structure and Pricing.  We’re D47.

        D4          Market Structure and Pricing
        D40        General
        D41        Perfect Competition
        D42        Monopoly
        D43        Oligopoly and Other Forms of Market Imperfection
        D44        Auctions
        D45        Rationing; Licensing
        D46        Value Theory
        D47 Market Design

        D49        Other

When you click on microeconomics, followed by market structure, followed by market design on the JEL classification webpage, you get to this description of the new field, with example (which are clickable on the web page, but don't seem to be when I copy them...:

D470 Market Design
Guideline: Covers studies concerning the design and evolution of economic institutions, the design of mechanisms for economic transactions (such as price determination and dispute resolution), and the interplay between a market�s size and complexity and the information available to agents in such an environment.
Keywords: Markets, Microeconomic Engineering, Price Formation, Quasi-markets
Caveats: Purely theoretical studies concerning mechanism design should be classified in D82. Purely empirical studies concerning market structure should be classified in the appropriate category under L1.
Examples:

Sunday, January 5, 2014

Market design today in Philadelphia

Two sessions I'll be attending at today's AEA meetings...


Jan 05, 2014 8:00 am, Pennsylvania Convention Center, 204-C 
American Economic Association
Frontiers of Market Design (D4)
PresidingALVIN ROTH (Stanford University)
The High-Frequency Trading Arms Race: Frequent Batch Auctions as a Market Design Response
ERIC BUDISH (University of Chicago)
PETER CRAMTON (University of Maryland)
JOHN SHIM (University of Chicago)
[View Abstract]
Organ Donation Loopholes Undermine Warm Glow Giving: An Experiment Motivated By Priority Loopholes in Israel
ALVIN E. ROTH (Stanford University)
JUDD KESSLER (University of Pennsylvania)
[View Abstract]
Mechanism Design in Large Games: Incentives and Privacy
MICHAEL KEARNS (University of Pennsylvania)
MALLESH PAI (University of Pennsylvania)
AARON ROTH (University of Pennsylvania)
JONATHAN ULLMAN (Harvard University)
[View Abstract]
Strategy-Proofness, Investment Efficiency, and Marginal Returns: An Equivalence
JOHN WILLIAM HATFIELD (Stanford University)
FUHITO KOJIMA (Stanford University)
SCOTT DUKE KOMINERS (University of Chicago)
[View Abstract]
Discussants:
MICHAEL OSTROVSKY (Stanford University)
JAMES ANDREONI (University of California-San Diego)
ILYA SEGAL (Stanford University)
LARRY SAMUELSON (Yale University)

Jan 05, 2014 10:15 am, Pennsylvania Convention Center, 204-A 
American Economic Association
Market Design for Auction Markets (D7)
PresidingPAUL MILGROM (Stanford University)
The VCG Auction in Theory and in Practice
HAL VARIAN (Google)
CHRIS HARRIS (Google)
[View Abstract]
Market Design and the Evolution of the Combinatorial Clock Auction
LAWRENCE AUSUBEL (University of Maryland)
OLEG BARANOV (University of Colorado)
[View Abstract]
The Continuous Combinatorial Ascending Price Auction
CHARLES R. PLOTT (California Institute of Technology)
[View Abstract]
Deferred Acceptance Heuristic Auctions and United States Spectrum Repurposing
PAUL MILGROM (Stanford University)
ILYA SEGAL (Stanford University)
[View Abstract]
Discussants:
ALVIN E. ROTH (Stanford University)
TAYFUN SONMEZ (Boston College)

Saturday, January 4, 2014

Paul Milgrom and Roger Myerson on matching and market design at lunch today

I gather that Lloyd Shapley won't be making the trip to Philadelphia, so I'll be standing in for the two of us.

Jan 04, 2014 12:30 pm, Philadelphia Marriott, Grand Ballroom - Salons G & H 
American Economic Association
Nobel Laureate Luncheon
PresidingWILLIAM NORDHAUS (Yale University)
PAUL MILGROM (Stanford University)
ROGER MYERSON (University of Chicago)

Friday, January 3, 2014

Market design experiments today in Philadelphia


Jan 03, 2014 10:15 am, Philadelphia Marriott, Meeting Room 307 
Economic Science Association
Market Design Experiments (C9)
PresidingJACOB GOEREE (University of Zurich)
From Boston to Chinese Parallel to Deferred Acceptance: Theory and Experiments on a Family of School Choice Mechanisms
YAN CHEN (University of Michigan)
ONUR KESTEN (Carnegie Mellon University)
[View Abstract]
Opt-In versus Mandated Choice for Deceased Organ Donation: An Experimental Study of Actual Organ Donation Decisions
ALVIN E. Roth (Stanford University)
JUDD KESSLER (University of Pennsylvania)
[View Abstract]
Ascending Prices and Package Bidding: Further Experimental Analysis
JOHN H. KAGEL (Ohio State University)
YUANCHUAN LIEN (Hong Kong University of Science & Technology)
PAUL MILGROM (Stanford University)
[View Abstract] [Download Preview]
Spectrum Auction Design: Simple Auctions for Complex Sales
MARTIN BICHLER (Technical University Munich)
JACOB K. GOEREE (University of Zurich)
STEFAN MAYER (Technical University Munich)
PASHA SHABALIN (Technical University Munich)
[View Abstract] [Download Preview]
Discussants:
SCOTT DUKE KOMINERS (University of Chicago)
ERIC GLEN WEYL (University of Chicago)
CARY DECK (University of Arkansas)
TOM WILKENING (University of Melbourne)
************

Later in the day there will be another experimental session sponsored by the ESA, and another tomorrow...:

Jan 03, 2014 2:30 pm, Philadelphia Marriott, Meeting Room 307
Economic Science Association
Experiments in Economic Development
Presiding: PAULINE GROSJEAN (University of New South Wales)

Institutional Quality, Culture, and Norms of Cooperation: Evidence from a Behavioral Field Experiment
PAULINE GROSJEAN (University of New South Wales)
ALESSANDRA CASSAR (University of San Francisco)
GIOVANNA D'ADDA (University of Birmingham)

Trust and Social Collateral: Empirical Evidence
TANYA S. ROSENBLAT (Iowa State University)
DEAN KARLAN (Yale University)
MARKUS M. MOBIUS (Iowa State University, NBER and Microsoft Research)
ADAM SZEIDL (Central European University)

Health Providers and Patients in Kenya: An Evaluation of Motivations, Interactions and Reports on Sub-Par Behaviors
DANILA SERRA (Southern Methodist University)
ISAAC MBITI (Southern Methodist University)
 ********

Jan 04, 2014 8:00 am, Philadelphia Marriott, Meeting Room 307
Economic Science Association
Identifying Time Preferences from Lab and Field Data
Presiding: CHARLES SPRENGER (Stanford University)

A Perspective on Measuring Discounting and Present Bias
JAMES ANDREONI (University of California-San Diego)

Recent Developments in the Measurement of Time Preferences
GLENN W. HARRISON (Georgia State University)

Identifying Self Control in Field Data
SENDHIL MULLANAITHAN (Harvard University)
SUPREET KAUR (Columbia University)
MICHAEL KREMER (Harvard University)

Thursday, January 2, 2014

Markets for blood, milk, and sperm (new book)

Here's the announcement of a forthcoming book from Harvard University Press (by Professor Kara Swanson, whose earlier papers include The Birth of the Sperm Bank):

Banking on the Body

The Market in Blood, Milk, and Sperm in Modern America

Not yet available

Book Details

HARDCOVER
$35.00 • £25.95 • €31.50
ISBN 9780674281431
Publication: May 2014
Available 05/05/2014
310 pages
6-1/8 x 9-1/4 inches
10 halftones
World
Scientific advances and economic forces have converged to create something unthinkable for much of human history: a robust market in human body products. Every year, countless Americans supply blood, sperm, and breast milk to “banks” that store these products for later use by strangers in routine medical procedures. These exchanges entail complicated questions. Which body products are donated and which sold? Who gives and who receives? And, in the end, who profits? In this eye-opening study, Kara Swanson traces the history of body banks from the nineteenth-century experiments that discovered therapeutic uses for body products to twenty-first-century websites that facilitate a thriving global exchange.
More than a metaphor, the “bank” has shaped ongoing controversies over body products as either marketable commodities or gifts donated to help others. A physician, Dr. Bernard Fantus, proposed a “bank” in 1937 to make blood available to all patients. Yet the bank metaphor labeled blood as something to be commercially bought and sold, not communally shared. As blood banks became a fixture of medicine after World War II, American doctors made them a frontline in their war against socialized medicine. The profit-making connotations of the “bank” reinforced a market-based understanding of supply and distribution, with unexpected consequences for all body products, from human eggs to kidneys.
Ultimately, the bank metaphor straitjacketed legal codes and reinforced inequalities in medical care. By exploring its past, Banking on the Body charts the path to a more efficient and less exploitative distribution of the human body’s life-giving potential.
Here's the table of contents:
  • Introduction: Banking for Love and for Money
  • 1. Bankable Bodies and the Professional Donor
  • 2. Banks That Take Donations
  • 3. Blood Battles in the Cold War
  • 4. Market Backlash
  • 5. Feminine Banks and the Milk of Human Kindness
  • 6. Buying Dad from the Sperm Bank
  • Conclusion: Beyond the Body Bank

Wednesday, January 1, 2014

Cornes and Neto celebrate Gale and Shapley, and the practical value of good theory

Here's a paper that points out that there's nothing more practical--even for policy--than good theory, and that it might be hard to guess where that will come from.

I was struck not just by the title of the paper, but by the parenthetical comment in the first sentence of the abstract...

Is Policy Too Important to be Left to Empiricists? Lessons of the 2012 Nobel Prize in Economics
Richard Cornes and José A. Rodrigues-Neto

Abstract
Fifty years ago, a paper entitled ‘College Admissions and the Stability of Marriage’was published in a somewhat obscure journal, the American Mathematical Monthly (currently a ‘B’ journal, according to the Australian Business Deans Council). The research program and policy developments that have flowed from that abstract and apparently slight seven-page paper recently led to the award of  the 2012 Nobel Prize for Economics to one of its authors, Lloyd Shapley. (Shapley’s co-author, David Gale, died in 2008.) Shapley shared the Nobel Prize ‘for the theory of stable allocations and the practice of market design’ with US economist Alvin Roth, who has been responsible for much of the applied work that has built on Gale and Shapley’s insights. The history of the path leading from the abstract Gale/Shapley insights to the design of resource allocation mechanisms in 2012 is a fascinating and instructive one for many reasons. This article tries to give the reader an idea of what this literature is about, and of the many ways in which Matching Theory has led to real improvements in the design of operational resource-allocation mechanisms.
**************

The article makes some points about how funny sounding theory can turn into practical institutions that were also made in the recent Golden Goose awards (see this post and this one).

Tuesday, December 31, 2013

Iguassu falls, by night and day

A recent trip to the Iguassu falls, where the full moon made a lunar rainbow in the permanent mist around the falls, was a bookend to a remarkable year.



Monday, December 30, 2013

Exeter Prize: Congratulations to Dan Friedman and Ryan Oprea

Congrats to Dan Friedman and Ryan Oprea, for the news that came this morning about their 2012 AER paper A continuous dilemma. Here's the email:

"Dear colleagues,

We are happy to announce the winner of the 2013 Exeter Prize for the best paper published in the previous calendar year in a peer-reviewed journal in the fields of Experimental Economics, Behavioural Economics and Decision Theory.
The winner is Daniel Friedman and Ryan Opera for their paper “A Continuous Dilemma” by published in American Economic Review.
This paper is an excellent complementary use of theory and experiments that significantly adds to our understanding of one of the fundamental problems in game theory. It is an important study that will stand the test of time.
The winning paper was selected by the panel of Glenn Harrison (Georgia State University), Izhak Gilboa (Tel Aviv University) and Shmuel Zamir (Hebrew University and the University of Exeter).
The winners receive 3000 pounds. In addition, a representative of them will be visiting the University of Exeter in May to receive the award and give a lecture.
This year was exceptionally competitive with a large number of excellent nominations. As stated above the best paper was awarded from the following fields: Experimental Economics, Behavioural Economics and Decision Theory and papers qualified under one of the following categories:
1. Any paper that involves either lab or field experiments. 
2. Any purely theoretical paper that involves "behavioral" theory
(for example, non-expected utility).
3. Any empirical work that shows evidence for behavioral models (that
fit under 2) or tests/rejects models (that fit under 2).

Miguel Fonseca
Todd Kaplan
Eva Poen"

Two countries divided by a common language: translating English into American

The article (by Tim Parks) Learning to Speak American, about copyediting an English writer's English for an American audience, has some hidden lessons about friction in international trade.

Here's his first paragraph:
"In 1993 I translated all 450 pages of Roberto Calasso’s The Marriage of Cadmus & Harmony without ever using the past participle of the verb “get.” The book was to be published simultaneously by Knopf in New York and Jonathan Cape in London; to save money both editions were to be printed from the same galleys; so it would be important, I was told, to avoid any usages that might strike American readers as distractingly English or English readers as distractingly American. To my English ear “gotten” yells America and alters the whole feel of a sentence. I presumed it would be the same the other way round for Americans."

And this:
"Despite my hailing from England—a country that still uses miles—I had expressed distances in meters and kilometers and it seemed odd now to find my Italian characters speaking to each other about yards and miles and, of course, Fahrenheit, which they never would. Or saying AM and PM, rather than using the twenty-four-hour clock as they mostly do, even in ordinary conversation. Slowly, as well as being concerned that some sentences were now feeling clunky and odd, I began to wonder if American readers really needed or demanded this level of protection. Wouldn’t they soon figure out, if I said “the temperature was up in the sizzling thirties,” that I was talking Celsius? Or at least that in another part of the world people had another system for measuring temperature where thirty was considered warm? Mightn’t it be fascinating for them to be reminded that the twenty-four-hour clock, which Americans usually associate with military operations, has long been in standard civilian usage in Europe? Italy introduced it as early as 1893."
...
"America is very much a net exporter of literature. Its novels are read and translated worldwide, where readers generally accept miles and Fahrenheit, pounds and ounces, AM and PM and indeed have grown accustomed to these old-fashioned, American oddities (when it comes to doing science, of course, Americans use the more practical European systems). In Germany, for example, where around fifty percent of novels are foreign works in translation, Roth’s and Franzen’s characters are not obliged to discuss distances in kilometers.

Conversely, America imports very little—only three to four percent of novels published in the States are translations—and what it does import it tends to transform as far as possible into its own formulas and notations, in much the same way that Disney has turned every fable and myth worldwide into a version of Mickey Mouse. "

Sunday, December 29, 2013

Alternatives to the NBA draft?

Scott Cunningham points me to this proposal to change the way professional basketball teams acquire new players. The present system rewards teams for poor performance by giving teams that lose lots of games a higher probability of very early draft choices. Early draft choices are important, because basketball is a game in which a single player can have a very big influence on team performance, and a small number of players are very good while still very young. So there may be an incentive, for a team having a poor season, to "tank" and try to be the worst team in order to have the highest probability of the first draft pick. The proposal would be to make draft choices independent of performance, and instead to alternate draft choices in a fixed schedule: The NBA's Possible Solution for Tanking: Good-bye to the Lottery, Hello to the Wheel
************

For more about the current draft system and how it is connected to player salaries, see Alicia Jessop on The Structure of NBA Rookie Contracts

Saturday, December 28, 2013

Repugnance as a constraint on markets in Spanish

La repugnancia como limitación de los mercados (a translation of my 2007 JEP article)

Dendra Médica. Revista de Humanidades 2013; 12(1):80-105